Jai-Alai Statistics

Trifectas

As Easy As 1-2-3


Q: Hey, Mr. Insane Gambler, what do all these numbers mean?

A: Well, I'll tell you, my fine feathered friend. These are what you call in-depth jai-alai stats. The first chart shows the results of several computer simulations that have been done. Hundreds of thousands of seven-point games were "played" with each post, 1 to 8, having an equal chance of winning each point. This chart represents what would most likely happen every 10,000 games.

There are a total of 336 possible trifecta combinations, so an "average" number would come in just under 30 times. BUT, under the SSSS, in which points double after the first round of play, certain numbers will come in much more often than others. Some numbers, like 6-8-7 are nearly impossible. Those numbers have a ** instead of a number to indicate they'll come in less than once every 10,000 games. NAGB!

But wait, there's another fly in the ointment - all players are not equal in talent. (Wow, that's a revelation) So if trifectas are your bag and you're looking to make some big scores, you need to combine these probabilities with player handicapping. If you don't do both of them my friend, YAMDD. D-O-O-M-E-D

Q: So what about these colors? Rather distracting, don't you think?

A: Yes, indeed they are. This has to be the worst chart on this site. Our table wizard kept working and working and working and just couldn't seem to come up with the right color combinations. The poor boy tried but just couldn't get the job done.

Anyway, the numbers are divided into four groups of 84 trifecta numbers each. The red ones are the top 25% in frequency, blue the second 25%, green is third, and black is fourth. Most bettors are well aware of these frequencies, so the payoffs will almost always be low for the best numbers. Depending upon which fronton you're playing and how much money is in the trifecta pool, one might very well make more money playing some of the less than frequent numbers. The big problem is in overcoming the 25 percent mutuel takeout. Only 75 percent of the money bet gets returned to the winning bettors. Those are tough, tough odds to overcome.

123      25 132      76 142      93 152      84 162      56 172      30 182        6
124      53 134      10 143      29 153      67 163      62 173      55 183      39
125      75 135      33 145        8 154      22 164      42 174      56 184      50
126      79 136      48 146      20 156        9 165      15 175      39 185      45
127      68 137      57 147      36 157      19 167        8 176      14 186      31
128      27 138      57 148      39 158      28 168      12 178        6 187        7
 
213      25 231      76 241      93 251      84 261      56 271      30 281        6
214      53 234      10 243      29 253      67 263      62 273      55 283      39
215      75 235      33 245        8 254      22 264      42 274      56 284      50
216      79 236      48 246      20 256        9 265      15 275      39 285      45
217      68 237      57 247      36 257      19 267        8 276      14 286      31
218      27 238      57 248      39 258      28 268      12 278        6 287        7
 
312      58 321      58 341      52 351      50 361      42 371      42 381      33
314      51 324      51 342      52 352      50 362      42 372      42 382      33
315      64 325      64 345        3 354        4 364      13 374      42 384      46
316      62 326      62 346        8 356        3 365        3 375      19 385      31
317      51 327      51 347      13 357        6 367        2 376        6 386      21
318      50 328      50 348      26 358      14 368        6 378        5 387        4
 
412      74 421      74 431      65 451      29 461      19 471      28 481      25
413      81 423      81 432      65 452      29 462      19 472      28 482      25
415      55 425      55 435      18 453      20 463      17 473      36 483      37
416      44 426      44 436      22 456        1 465        1 475        7 485      11
417      37 427      37 437      22 457        3 467        ** 476        1 486        3
418      42 428      42 438      35 458        5 468        2 478        1 487        **
 
512      41 521      41 531      69 541      40 561      11 571      12 581        9
513      61 523      61 532      69 542      40 562      11 572      12 582        9
514      74 524      74 534      27 543      19 563      16 573      22 583      20
516      25 526      25 536      22 546        7 564        9 574      15 584      16
517      19 527      19 537      19 547      11 567        ** 576        ** 586        2
518      24 528      24 538      27 548      15 568        1 578        ** 587        **
 
612      22 621      22 631      60 641      54 651      19 671        8 681        4
613      31 623      31 632      60 642      54 652      19 672        8 682        4
614      64 624      64 634      37 643      41 653      24 673      16 683      10
615      63 625      63 635      50 645      12 654      12 674      15 684      11
617      17 627      17 637      18 647      14 657        3 675        7 685        5
618      14 628      14 638      16 648      14 658        6 678        ** 687        **
 
712      12 721      12 731      34 741      48 751      30 761      10 781        3
713      13 723      13 732      34 742      48 752      30 762      10 782        3
714      32 724      32 734      21 743      35 753      36 763      14 783        7
715      48 725      48 735      43 745      21 754      22 764      12 784      10
716      36 726      36 736      38 746      21 756        3 765        6 785        8
718        9 728        9 738      12 748      14 758        9 768        1 786        3
 
812        9 821        9 831      29 841      56 851      46 861      25 871        8
813        8 823        8 832      29 842      56 852      46 862      25 872        8
814      23 824      23 834      13 843      35 853      57 863      35 873      13
815      44 825      44 835      33 845      15 854      28 864      32 874      16
816      55 826      55 836      61 846      35 856      13 865      15 875      10
817      33 827      33 837      41 847      32 857      15 867        1 876        3



Here's another table that shows the frequencies from another angle. In this case, the red numbers account for about 25 percent of all the trifectas that come in. That's different from the one above. Let's explain it so even a third-grader can understand it. The red numbers above, 84 of them that would cost $168 per game, come in about 51 percent of the time. It's basically an even-money bet, but you'll have to average more than $320 per payoff. In the table below, there are only 36 red numbers. That's $72 per game with a win average of 25.6 percent. That means you'll need an average payoff of $281 to break even. That's still tough to do with that darn takeout of 25 percent.

Damn that takeout. There are so many other games to play where your edge is so much better, why bother with jai-alai, horses, or dogs? TIG is a great supporter of lowering the takeout shares of the state in order to increase the handle. Gamblers will eventually lose their money, but they're more likely to do it if given a fighting chance with better odds. Okay, TIG will get off his soapbox.

Back to the subject...The blue group accounts for another 25 percent, the green, and then the black. Blue has 46 numbers, green has 66 and black has the remaining 188 combinations. Yes, 188! The 36 best numbers win 25 percent of the time, and you need 188 of the bad ones to match that. The black ones would cost $376 per game and win 25 percent of the time. You'd need an average payoff of just over $1,500 per win! Guess what? TAGH!

Needless to say, (but we'll say it anyway) those infrequent numbers are bad bets almost all the time. The bottom line is that it's really hard to make money just playing the numbers. You need to do some handicapping, pal! And all the info you need to do that is here at the handicapping page.

123      25 132      76 142      93 152      84 162      56 172      30 182        6
124      53 134      10 143      29 153      67 163      62 173      55 183      39
125      75 135      33 145        8 154      22 164      42 174      56 184      50
126      79 136      48 146      20 156        9 165      15 175      39 185      45
127      68 137      57 147      36 157      19 167        8 176      14 186      31
128      27 138      57 148      39 158      28 168      12 178        6 187        7
 
213      25 231      76 241      93 251      84 261      56 271      30 281        6
214      53 234      10 243      29 253      67 263      62 273      55 283      39
215      75 235      33 245        8 254      22 264      42 274      56 284      50
216      79 236      48 246      20 256        9 265      15 275      39 285      45
217      68 237      57 247      36 257      19 267        8 276      14 286      31
218      27 238      57 248      39 258      28 268      12 278        6 287        7
 
312      58 321      58 341      52 351      50 361      42 371      42 381      33
314      51 324      51 342      52 352      50 362      42 372      42 382      33
315      64 325      64 345        3 354        4 364      13 374      42 384      46
316      62 326      62 346        8 356        3 365        3 375      19 385      31
317      51 327      51 347      13 357        6 367        2 376        6 386      21
318      50 328      50 348      26 358      14 368        6 378        5 387        4
 
412      74 421      74 431      65 451      29 461      19 471      28 481      25
413      81 423      81 432      65 452      29 462      19 472      28 482      25
415      55 425      55 435      18 453      20 463      17 473      36 483      37
416      44 426      44 436      22 456        1 465        1 475        7 485      11
417      37 427      37 437      22 457        3 467        ** 476        1 486        3
418      42 428      42 438      35 458        5 468        2 478        1 487        **
 
512      41 521      41 531      69 541      40 561      11 571      12 581        9
513      61 523      61 532      69 542      40 562      11 572      12 582        9
514      74 524      74 534      27 543      19 563      16 573      22 583      20
516      25 526      25 536      22 546        7 564        9 574      15 584      16
517      19 527      19 537      19 547      11 567        ** 576        ** 586        2
518      24 528      24 538      27 548      15 568        1 578        ** 587        **
 
612      22 621      22 631      60 641      54 651      19 671        8 681        4
613      31 623      31 632      60 642      54 652      19 672        8 682        4
614      64 624      64 634      37 643      41 653      24 673      16 683      10
615      63 625      63 635      50 645      12 654      12 674      15 684      11
617      17 627      17 637      18 647      14 657        3 675        7 685        5
618      14 628      14 638      16 648      14 658        6 678        ** 687        **
 
712      12 721      12 731      34 741      48 751      30 761      10 781        3
713      13 723      13 732      34 742      48 752      30 762      10 782        3
714      32 724      32 734      21 743      35 753      36 763      14 783        7
715      48 725      48 735      43 745      21 754      22 764      12 784      10
716      36 726      36 736      38 746      21 756        3 765        6 785        8
718        9 728        9 738      12 748      14 758        9 768        1 786        3
 
812        9 821        9 831      29 841      56 851      46 861      25 871        8
813        8 823        8 832      29 842      56 852      46 862      25 872        8
814      23 824      23 834      13 843      35 853      57 863      35 873      13
815      44 825      44 835      33 845      15 854      28 864      32 874      16
816      55 826      55 836      61 846      35 856      13 865      15 875      10
817      33 827      33 837      41 847      32 857      15 867        1 876        3

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