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Q: Hey, Mr. Insane Gambler, what do all these numbers mean?
A: Well, I'll tell you, my fine feathered friend. These are what you call in-depth jai-alai stats. The first chart shows the results of several computer simulations that have been done. Hundreds of
thousands of seven-point games were "played" with each post, 1 to 8, having an equal chance of winning each point. This chart represents what would most likely happen every 10,000 games.
There are a total of 336 possible trifecta combinations, so an "average" number would come in just under 30 times. BUT, under the SSSS, in which points double after the first round of play, certain numbers will come in much more often than others. Some numbers, like 6-8-7 are nearly impossible. Those numbers have a ** instead of a number to indicate they'll come in less than once every 10,000 games. NAGB!
But wait, there's another fly in the ointment - all players are not equal in talent. (Wow, that's a revelation) So if trifectas are your bag and you're looking to make some big scores, you need to combine these probabilities with player handicapping. If you don't do both my friend, YAMDD. D-O-O-M-E-D
Q: So what about these colors? Rather distracting, don't you think?
A: Yes, indeed they are. This has to be the worst chart on this site. Our table wizard kept working and working and working and just couldn't seem to come up with the right color combinations. The poor boy tried but just couldn't get the job done.
Anyway, the numbers are divided into four groups of 84 trifecta numbers each. The red ones are the top 25% in frequency, blue the second 25%, green is third, and black is fourth. Most bettors are well aware of these frequencies, so the payoffs will almost always be low for the best numbers. Depending upon which fronton you're playing and how much money is in the trifecta pool, one might very well make more money playing some of the less than frequent numbers. The big problem is in overcoming the 25 percent mutuel takeout. Only 75 percent of the money bet gets returned to the winning bettors. Those are tough, tough odds to overcome.
| 123 25 | 132 76 | 142 93 | 152 84 | 162 56 | 172 30 | 182 6 |
| 124 53 | 134 10 | 143 29 | 153 67 | 163 62 | 173 55 | 183 39 |
| 125 75 | 135 33 | 145 8 | 154 22 | 164 42 | 174 56 | 184 50 |
| 126 79 | 136 48 | 146 20 | 156 9 | 165 15 | 175 39 | 185 45 |
| 127 68 | 137 57 | 147 36 | 157 19 | 167 8 | 176 14 | 186 31 |
| 128 27 | 138 57 | 148 39 | 158 28 | 168 12 | 178 6 | 187 7 |
| 213 25 | 231 76 | 241 93 | 251 84 | 261 56 | 271 30 | 281 6 |
| 214 53 | 234 10 | 243 29 | 253 67 | 263 62 | 273 55 | 283 39 |
| 215 75 | 235 33 | 245 8 | 254 22 | 264 42 | 274 56 | 284 50 |
| 216 79 | 236 48 | 246 20 | 256 9 | 265 15 | 275 39 | 285 45 |
| 217 68 | 237 57 | 247 36 | 257 19 | 267 8 | 276 14 | 286 31 |
| 218 27 | 238 57 | 248 39 | 258 28 | 268 12 | 278 6 | 287 7 |
| 312 58 | 321 58 | 341 52 | 351 50 | 361 42 | 371 42 | 381 33 |
| 314 51 | 324 51 | 342 52 | 352 50 | 362 42 | 372 42 | 382 33 |
| 315 64 | 325 64 | 345 3 | 354 4 | 364 13 | 374 42 | 384 46 |
| 316 62 | 326 62 | 346 8 | 356 3 | 365 3 | 375 19 | 385 31 |
| 317 51 | 327 51 | 347 13 | 357 6 | 367 2 | 376 6 | 386 21 |
| 318 50 | 328 50 | 348 26 | 358 14 | 368 6 | 378 5 | 387 4 |
| 412 74 | 421 74 | 431 65 | 451 29 | 461 19 | 471 28 | 481 25 |
| 413 81 | 423 81 | 432 65 | 452 29 | 462 19 | 472 28 | 482 25 |
| 415 55 | 425 55 | 435 18 | 453 20 | 463 17 | 473 36 | 483 37 |
| 416 44 | 426 44 | 436 22 | 456 1 | 465 1 | 475 7 | 485 11 |
| 417 37 | 427 37 | 437 22 | 457 3 | 467 ** | 476 1 | 486 3 |
| 418 42 | 428 42 | 438 35 | 458 5 | 468 2 | 478 1 | 487 ** |
| 512 41 | 521 41 | 531 69 | 541 40 | 561 11 | 571 12 | 581 9 |
| 513 61 | 523 61 | 532 69 | 542 40 | 562 11 | 572 12 | 582 9 |
| 514 74 | 524 74 | 534 27 | 543 19 | 563 16 | 573 22 | 583 20 |
| 516 25 | 526 25 | 536 22 | 546 7 | 564 9 | 574 15 | 584 16 |
| 517 19 | 527 19 | 537 19 | 547 11 | 567 ** | 576 ** | 586 2 |
| 518 24 | 528 24 | 538 27 | 548 15 | 568 1 | 578 ** | 587 ** |
| 612 22 | 621 22 | 631 60 | 641 54 | 651 19 | 671 8 | 681 4 |
| 613 31 | 623 31 | 632 60 | 642 54 | 652 19 | 672 8 | 682 4 |
| 614 64 | 624 64 | 634 37 | 643 41 | 653 24 | 673 16 | 683 10 |
| 615 63 | 625 63 | 635 50 | 645 12 | 654 12 | 674 15 | 684 11 |
| 617 17 | 627 17 | 637 18 | 647 14 | 657 3 | 675 7 | 685 5 |
| 618 14 | 628 14 | 638 16 | 648 14 | 658 6 | 678 ** | 687 ** |
| 712 12 | 721 12 | 731 34 | 741 48 | 751 30 | 761 10 | 781 3 |
| 713 13 | 723 13 | 732 34 | 742 48 | 752 30 | 762 10 | 782 3 |
| 714 32 | 724 32 | 734 21 | 743 35 | 753 36 | 763 14 | 783 7 |
| 715 48 | 725 48 | 735 43 | 745 21 | 754 22 | 764 12 | 784 10 |
| 716 36 | 726 36 | 736 38 | 746 21 | 756 3 | 765 6 | 785 8 |
| 718 9 | 728 9 | 738 12 | 748 14 | 758 9 | 768 1 | 786 3 |
| 812 9 | 821 9 | 831 29 | 841 56 | 851 46 | 861 25 | 871 8 |
| 813 8 | 823 8 | 832 29 | 842 56 | 852 46 | 862 25 | 872 8 |
| 814 23 | 824 23 | 834 13 | 843 35 | 853 57 | 863 35 | 873 13 |
| 815 44 | 825 44 | 835 33 | 845 15 | 854 28 | 864 32 | 874 16 |
| 816 55 | 826 55 | 836 61 | 846 35 | 856 13 | 865 15 | 875 10 |
| 817 33 | 827 33 | 837 41 | 847 32 | 857 15 | 867 1 | 876 3 |
Here's another table that shows the frequencies from another angle. In this case, the red numbers account for about 25 percent of all the trifectas that come in. That's different from the one above. Let's explain it so even a third-grader can understand it. The red numbers above, 84 of them that would cost $168 per game, come in about 51 percent of the time. It's basically an even-money bet, but you'll have to average more than $320 per payoff. In the table below, there are only 36 red numbers. That's $72 per game with a win average of 25.6 percent. That means you'll need an average payoff of $281 to break even. That's still tough to do with that darn takeout of 25 percent.
Damn that takeout. There are so many other games to play where your edge is so much better, why bother with jai-alai, horses, or dogs? TIG is a great supporter of lowering the takeout shares of the state in order to increase the handle. Gamblers will eventually lose their money, but they're more likely to do it if given a fighting chance with better odds. Okay, TIG will get off his soapbox.
Back to the subject...The blue group accounts for another 25 percent, the green, and then the black. Blue has 46 numbers, green has 66 and black has the remaining 188 combinations. Yes, 188! The 36 best numbers win 25 percent of the time, and you need 188 of the bad ones to match that. The black ones would cost $376 per game and win 25 percent of the time. You'd need an average payoff of just over $1,500 per win! Guess what? TAGH!
Needless to say, (but we'll say it anyway) those infrequent numbers are bad bets almost all the time. The bottom line is that it's really hard to make money just playing the numbers. You need to do some handicapping, pal! And all the info you need to do that is here at the handicapping page.
| 123 25 | 132 76 | 142 93 | 152 84 | 162 56 | 172 30 | 182 6 |
| 124 53 | 134 10 | 143 29 | 153 67 | 163 62 | 173 55 | 183 39 |
| 125 75 | 135 33 | 145 8 | 154 22 | 164 42 | 174 56 | 184 50 |
| 126 79 | 136 48 | 146 20 | 156 9 | 165 15 | 175 39 | 185 45 |
| 127 68 | 137 57 | 147 36 | 157 19 | 167 8 | 176 14 | 186 31 |
| 128 27 | 138 57 | 148 39 | 158 28 | 168 12 | 178 6 | 187 7 |
| 213 25 | 231 76 | 241 93 | 251 84 | 261 56 | 271 30 | 281 6 |
| 214 53 | 234 10 | 243 29 | 253 67 | 263 62 | 273 55 | 283 39 |
| 215 75 | 235 33 | 245 8 | 254 22 | 264 42 | 274 56 | 284 50 |
| 216 79 | 236 48 | 246 20 | 256 9 | 265 15 | 275 39 | 285 45 |
| 217 68 | 237 57 | 247 36 | 257 19 | 267 8 | 276 14 | 286 31 |
| 218 27 | 238 57 | 248 39 | 258 28 | 268 12 | 278 6 | 287 7 |
| 312 58 | 321 58 | 341 52 | 351 50 | 361 42 | 371 42 | 381 33 |
| 314 51 | 324 51 | 342 52 | 352 50 | 362 42 | 372 42 | 382 33 |
| 315 64 | 325 64 | 345 3 | 354 4 | 364 13 | 374 42 | 384 46 |
| 316 62 | 326 62 | 346 8 | 356 3 | 365 3 | 375 19 | 385 31 |
| 317 51 | 327 51 | 347 13 | 357 6 | 367 2 | 376 6 | 386 21 |
| 318 50 | 328 50 | 348 26 | 358 14 | 368 6 | 378 5 | 387 4 |
| 412 74 | 421 74 | 431 65 | 451 29 | 461 19 | 471 28 | 481 25 |
| 413 81 | 423 81 | 432 65 | 452 29 | 462 19 | 472 28 | 482 25 |
| 415 55 | 425 55 | 435 18 | 453 20 | 463 17 | 473 36 | 483 37 |
| 416 44 | 426 44 | 436 22 | 456 1 | 465 1 | 475 7 | 485 11 |
| 417 37 | 427 37 | 437 22 | 457 3 | 467 ** | 476 1 | 486 3 |
| 418 42 | 428 42 | 438 35 | 458 5 | 468 2 | 478 1 | 487 ** |
| 512 41 | 521 41 | 531 69 | 541 40 | 561 11 | 571 12 | 581 9 |
| 513 61 | 523 61 | 532 69 | 542 40 | 562 11 | 572 12 | 582 9 |
| 514 74 | 524 74 | 534 27 | 543 19 | 563 16 | 573 22 | 583 20 |
| 516 25 | 526 25 | 536 22 | 546 7 | 564 9 | 574 15 | 584 16 |
| 517 19 | 527 19 | 537 19 | 547 11 | 567 ** | 576 ** | 586 2 |
| 518 24 | 528 24 | 538 27 | 548 15 | 568 1 | 578 ** | 587 ** |
| 612 22 | 621 22 | 631 60 | 641 54 | 651 19 | 671 8 | 681 4 |
| 613 31 | 623 31 | 632 60 | 642 54 | 652 19 | 672 8 | 682 4 |
| 614 64 | 624 64 | 634 37 | 643 41 | 653 24 | 673 16 | 683 10 |
| 615 63 | 625 63 | 635 50 | 645 12 | 654 12 | 674 15 | 684 11 |
| 617 17 | 627 17 | 637 18 | 647 14 | 657 3 | 675 7 | 685 5 |
| 618 14 | 628 14 | 638 16 | 648 14 | 658 6 | 678 ** | 687 ** |
| 712 12 | 721 12 | 731 34 | 741 48 | 751 30 | 761 10 | 781 3 |
| 713 13 | 723 13 | 732 34 | 742 48 | 752 30 | 762 10 | 782 3 |
| 714 32 | 724 32 | 734 21 | 743 35 | 753 36 | 763 14 | 783 7 |
| 715 48 | 725 48 | 735 43 | 745 21 | 754 22 | 764 12 | 784 10 |
| 716 36 | 726 36 | 736 38 | 746 21 | 756 3 | 765 6 | 785 8 |
| 718 9 | 728 9 | 738 12 | 748 14 | 758 9 | 768 1 | 786 3 |
| 812 9 | 821 9 | 831 29 | 841 56 | 851 46 | 861 25 | 871 8 |
| 813 8 | 823 8 | 832 29 | 842 56 | 852 46 | 862 25 | 872 8 |
| 814 23 | 824 23 | 834 13 | 843 35 | 853 57 | 863 35 | 873 13 |
| 815 44 | 825 44 | 835 33 | 845 15 | 854 28 | 864 32 | 874 16 |
| 816 55 | 826 55 | 836 61 | 846 35 | 856 13 | 865 15 | 875 10 |
| 817 33 | 827 33 | 837 41 | 847 32 | 857 15 | 867 1 | 876 3 |
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